Futurology

*"Quaise uses a gyrotron, originally developed for fusion research at MIT’s Plasma Science and Fusion Center, to produce millimeter-wave energy that ablates rock by vaporizing it with no mechanical contact. Last year, they drilled through 100+ meters of granite in Central Texas in the first field demonstration of the technology. This year, they’re targeting a kilometer, then eventually, 10-12 miles. At full depth, a single superhot well would produce 5-10x more power than a conventional geothermal well."*

Solid-state batteries might not be cheaper at first. But once economies of scale from mass production efficiencies kick in, they will be.

Not sure how credible this is, but it seems more credible than that Finnish company’s claims. This one comes from an established battery manufacturer and according to the article the cells have survived puncture tests etc. already.

These 4 countries now manufacture approximately. 40GW of solar panels per year. That’s enough to power around 20 million EVs (maths below). That’s far in excess of new car sales in those 4 countries, which come in at 3-4 million cars per year.

For all the boasts the US’s AI military vendors make, I’m constantly struck by how few real-world achievements they have. They are battlefield tested in Gaza and Lebanon, but to what result? The mass destruction of civilian populations we see there looks exactly like WW2-era warfare. Now they want $445bn extra for more of the same? What a waste.

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"In 2006, Shinya Yamanaka, a stem-cell biologist then at Kyoto University in Japan, and his colleague discovered that four proteins known as transcription factors — later dubbed Yamanaka factors — could transform an adult cell into an induced pluripotent stem (iPS) cell that is capable of taking on new identities."

"With GEN-1, though, Generalist says its physical models have reached a GPT-3-style inflection point, where some tasks are starting to “cross the level of performance needed to be deployed in economically useful settings.”

Now that the US sees the EU as a potential enemy, Europe has moved to ensure its financial system can never be sanctioned or shut down; something the US has done to Russia, Cuba, and Iran.

As the Middle East War continues, with fuel rationing & $200/barrel oil likely ahead, it feels like history will look back at this moment as a definitive ending of the Fossil Fuel Age. People will still be using oil, gas, and coal for decades to come, but in constantly declining amounts. But something more fundamental has changed.

"The Russians had lost an estimated 3,000 tanks in the previous year, along with 9,000 armored vehicles, 13,000 artillery systems, and more than 400 air-defense systems, Cavoli said in written testimony. The main weapon that the Ukrainians had used to inflict this damage was the suicide drone, which costs about $400 to make……………….“It’s Ukrainian housewives,” Papperger (CEO Rheinmetall, Germany’s biggest arms manufacturer) said of their factories. “They have 3-D printers in the kitchen, and they produce parts for drones,” he said. “This is not innovation.”

“In China, BYD is currently building 4,000 1.5MW charging stations across the country, with plans to roll out 20,000 by the end of this year.

“BYD also claims to have addressed the well-known issue of lithium iron phosphate cells losing performance in cold temperatures. After the cells were stored for 24 hours at –30 degrees Celsius and therefore completely frozen, charging from 20 to 97 per cent reportedly took just twelve minutes.”

“Healthier Comforts has rolled out an animal-free egg white protein powder in the US, which features The Every Company’s precision-fermented OvoPro ingredient, the company has confirmed to Green Queen.”

Storing heat for months is more effective than you might think. There are systems across northern Europe where insulation is used to store excess heat from summer for winter use. This approach is theoretically simpler. It does away with the need for insulation. In this case, pyrimidone, a molecule related to DNA, changes molecular structure. Solar energy provides the energy to do it, and it’s being undone, releases energy.

But if white-collar layoffs cause a downturn, Washington might not be able to restore hiring and lift consumer spending as it has done before. Businesses wouldn’t need the skills workers possess. Firms wouldn’t want to hire the legions of accountants, engineers, lawyers, middle managers, human-resources executives, financial analysts, PR types, and customer-service agents they just laid off. (Writers would be fine, I choose to believe.) The United States would have a “structural” unemployment problem, as economists put it, not a “cyclical” demand problem.

Now that AI can seamlessly imitate a person’s voice and likeness, this means our digital likeness is virtually immortal. If AI has access to enough of your conversation and writing, it can probably do a good job of impersonating your personality, too.

Here’s a fact that might surprise most people. Although the US is adding 70GW of new capacity versus China’s 400GW in 2026, proportionately more of the US’s will be from renewables. Largely because China is still adding coal and gas. By the end of 2026, 36% of total US generating capacity will be from renewables.

As the "Are We the Baddies?" meme suggests. If you’re a country’s military, in a democracy, that wants to carry out mass civilian surveillance and use killer robots, maybe you’re the one with the problem. Anthropic can be as principled as they like, there are plenty who’ll be happy to help - Peter Thiel’s Palantir is eager and enthusiastic about implementing this agenda.

"There’s no question about it — whether you want it or not — the best way to help some of these communities is gonna be AI-based avatars,” Oz, the head of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said recently at an event focused on addiction and mental health hosted by Action for Progress."

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Sick of expensive gasoline and overpriced gasoline cars? Not only are EVs getting cheaper than gas cars (and still have years of economy-of-scale price reductions ahead), but paired with renewables, their fuel source is getting ever cheaper, too.

Human doctors take years to train, and the resources to train enough are so limited that few countries have enough doctors. We are so used to that state of affairs, it’s hard to imagine having a magic wand that could be waved to solve the problem overnight.

"Even in that simplified, proof-of-concept drone, the printed battery achieves a 50 percent boost in energy density, and uses 35 percent more available volume."